全球气候变化和碳减排对于发达国家和发展中国家具有不同的意义,对于发展中国家而言,其首要任务是适应和发展。基础设施建设和城市化是实现发展的必由之路,在现有技术条件下,这也意味着经济发展必须经过一个碳排放快速增加的阶段,而中国正处于这一发展阶段。中国在2000年以前在碳减排方面的出色表现很大程度上是市场化改革带来的"制度红利"所致,今后继续保持碳强度下降的关键在于技术能力的提高。

Faced with global climate change and pressure of reducing Greenhouse Gas(GHG) emission,developing countries have two emergencies: adaptation and development.Urbanization and infrastructure building are the must-be to realize these two targets.Given existing technologies,urbanization and infrastructure building imply that we will experience a period with high GHG emission growth on the midst of economic development,and China is right on this phase."Institution bonus",brought by economic reform,contributed a lot to China's excellent performance on carbon intensity reduction before the year 2000.If we want to continue our reduction on carbon intensity,the real key lies on technology progress.